Post-Election Libertarian Analysis

Trump has won and shocked the political class.  He was not supposed to win, and now everybody is scrambling to figure out what it will mean.

I voted for Darrell Castle on Tuesday, although I had been tempted to vote for Trump on several occasions.  Trump is nothing close to being a libertarian, but he does offer us some hope on foreign policy. In addition, he seems to be mostly honest (a rare characteristic in politics) and the establishment hates him.  Therefore, he can’t be all bad.

Even though I hadn’t voted for Trump, I was cheering for him on Tuesday night (and Wednesday morning).  It was fun to flip through all of the different channels just to watch the media pundits squirm.

Almost all of the worst enemies of liberty were against Trump.  The establishment media, the neoconservatives, the Bushes, Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Colin Powell, and most of the left.  These are the worst elements of society.  This was reason enough to cheer on Trump.

The betting sites got this completely wrong.  I had previously stated that they are now unreliable because they were essentially outlawed in the United States.  The polls were mostly wrong, but not by as much as people thought.  Clinton is likely to win the popular vote, and some polls showed that Trump had closed the gap to within one percentage point right before the election.

Some will again question the system of the Electoral College.  One argument against a nationwide popular vote comes from this election itself.  Could you imagine recounting over 120 million votes?  Could you imagine the fraud that would be taking place right now?

Of course, the Electoral College was designed when it was more of a confederation of states rather than the giant behemoth of a single nation that we see today.  It was designed as such because each state was supposed to be like an independent little country.  The Electoral College is one of the last remaining remnants of federalism.

But on this note, it was encouraging to see more states somewhat legalize marijuana, whether for recreational use or medical use.  This continues to be an act of defiance against illegitimate federal laws.

There are Clinton supporters today who are absolutely livid.  They hate Donald Trump and they can’t understand how anyone could vote for someone who they have been told is a bigot and a bully.  The people who think this way simply are out of touch with reality.  They don’t understand that half the country knows that Hillary Clinton is a criminal.

But the Trump vote wasn’t just an anti-Hillary vote.  There were plenty of enthusiastic Trump supporters.  But you have to realize that most of these people don’t love every policy proposal by Trump.

I can’t speak for all Trump supporters, but I think a majority of them see him and his movement as a protest vote.  To put it less politely, they saw a vote for Trump as a giant middle finger extended to the establishment.

Hillary Clinton was really the perfect contrast too.  She is a bloodthirsty warmonger who is in the pockets of Goldman Sachs, the Saudi government, and the military-industrial complex.  She is just the worst of the worst.

It’s been fun to see the establishment throw fits over the election results, but we don’t know what we are going to get out of Donald Trump now.

There are hysterical people who think the world is going to end or something.  Some immigrants think they are going to be deported and some women think they are going to be a second-class citizen or something.

You should not expect much change when it comes to social policies or even economic policies.  There will be marginal impacts on the courts, likely for the better (from a libertarian point of view).

In terms of the federal budget, most of it is already spoken for.  It isn’t going to change much unless Trump actually reduces military spending drastically.  And this is one area where Trump could really do some good.  If he scales down (or better yet, ends) the various wars overseas, then I think we can be satisfied.

It would be nice if he would at least audit the Federal Reserve, but again, I don’t think we should get our hopes too high.  Maybe he will surprise us, but probably not.

I think the biggest question is Obamacare, which is an issue he probably didn’t exploit enough, yet it probably put him over the edge.  The middle class is getting hammered right now, and it was his acknowledgement of this fact that drew so much support.

The Republicans have maintained a majority in the House and a slight majority in the Senate.  They can repeal Obamacare.  Do they have the will to do it?  I am doubtful, but I can still hope.

If the Republicans fully repeal Obamacare and don’t put in place some other fascist or socialist program in place, then for once I can say that maybe there is more than a dime’s worth of difference between the two parties.  Let’s see if Trump can make this happen.

For me, the two big issues over the next four years are foreign policy and Obamacare.  I don’t expect Trump to be anything close to a libertarian, but I will consider him a success if he can end the wars, not start new wars, and repeal Obamacare.

I don’t expect much else except for theatrics from all sides.

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