QE3 and Gold and Silver

With the announcement of QE3, gold and silver bulls are excited again.  While most people will not benefit from QE3, it is certainly a good idea to ease some of the pain by owning some investments in hard assets, gold and silver included.

I have always favored gold over silver.  It has more characteristics of acting as money.  Gold is primarily used for jewelry and for investing/ saving.  Only a small percentage is used for other purposes.  Meanwhile, silver is used more as an industrial metal.  It is also used for the purpose of investment and savings, but usually to a lesser extent.

Gold also has an advantage right now in that central banks are tending to buy gold instead of sell it.  It hasn’t always been this way.  But this alone has seemed to put a floor on the price of gold.  If there is a drop, a country such as China will buy some.  Central banks don’t buy and hold silver that I know of.

Gold tends to be far less volatile than silver.  This sometimes gives an advantage to silver in a metals bull market.  But when the crash comes, it comes hard for silver.  We have seen that just in the last few years.

Therefore, if you are going to invest in silver, I suggest a much smaller percentage than your gold holdings, in terms of dollars.  Silver is much riskier and you really don’t need the high volatility.

With all of that said, it would not surprise me to see silver outshine gold in the next few years, assuming we don’t have a big crash.

Aside from its history of higher volatility, there is another reason that I think silver might far outperform gold if QE3 continues.

QE3 will hurt the average American, just as QE1 and QE2 have.  While people like to see the stock market go up, this does not mean that much to the average American.  Most Americans don’t own a lot of stocks outside of their 401k plan.  Meanwhile, more money creation, which QE is, will only cause prices to go higher.

This is going to be a theme that I revisit often.  The average American is hurting.  We may not officially be in a recession, but it doesn’t matter.  I can see it on the street.  I talk to friends and coworkers.  I know how hard it is for people who are employed.  I can only imagine how difficult it is for the unemployed.

The average American is paying more and more each year for medical expenses and insurance.  It also costs more for a trip to the grocery store and to fill up a car.  While the price inflation index is going up only modestly, wages are not keeping up.  Real wages are stagnant or even down.  The average American is having trouble understanding why his standard of living seems to be going down, as long as you don’t count the new technological gadgets.

So what does this have to do with gold and silver?  Simply that most Americans do not have much in savings outside of the equity in their homes (which is far less now) and their retirement plans.  Most Americans do not have much in the way of liquid savings.  So if we hit a mania in the metals market and people think that inflation is getting out of control, they aren’t going to be able to buy gold if they want to.  It will be possible for someone to scrounge together $35 for an ounce of silver (who knows what the price will be a few years from now).  Not many people will be able to pay $1,800 for an ounce of gold.  Even a gold coin that is one-tenth of an ounce will still cost you almost $200 today.

The only thing that might counter my argument a little is the invention of ETFs.  It is possible for someone to invest in gold through an exchange traded fund such as GLD.  They could buy as many shares as they can afford, although it would be kind of crazy to buy just a couple of hundred dollars worth and pay a relatively high commission.

In conclusion, I favor gold over silver for your portfolio due to it being less volatile.  However, because struggling Americans will be able to buy silver coins easier, it would not surprise me to see silver do quite well if QE3 continues for a while.

Frank Shostak on the Fiscal Cliff

I recently wrote about the so-called “fiscal cliff” that is supposed to be coming.  I pointed out that tax hikes and spending cuts are completely different, and that spending cuts would actually be beneficial to the overall economy, at least in the long run.

Frank Shostak recently wrote a piece for the Mises Institute.  He also discussed the “fiscal cliff”.  I would recommend that you read his article, if you haven’t done so already.

I do have one point where I have somewhat of a disagreement with Shostak.  I will first get that out of the way.  Shostak wrote, “What about the fact that we will also have an increase in taxes as a result of the expiration of the Bush tax cuts?  To the extent that government outlays are going to be curtailed the increase in taxes should be regarded as a monetary withdrawal from the economy.  In this sense it is like a tight monetary policy.  A tighter monetary stance in this respect should be seen as positive for wealth generators since it weakens various bubble activities that sprang up on the back of past loose monetary policies.”

I think I understand Shostak’s point there.  He is saying that a smaller budget deficit is the equivalent of a tighter monetary stance.  If there is a smaller deficit, the Fed would not have to buy as much government debt to keep rates low.

My area of disagreement is in regards to the Laffer Curve.  Higher tax rates can lead to less economic activity, including labor and investment.  So regardless of government spending, higher tax rates can reduce productivity due to incentive.  If you accepted static scoring and human behavior did not change, then I would agree with his assessment.

Aside from my one point of contention, Shostak’s main point in his article is that government spending is what matters the most and a cut in government spending is good news for the economy.

I think this point is lost on most everyone, including many libertarians.  Conservatives especially do not understand it, or at least do not stand by it.  Conservatives seem to care so much about the so-called Bush tax cuts, yet any benefit from the tax cuts is extremely small compared to the vast damage of the massive spending done during the Bush years.

It is important to understand Shostak’s article.  All government spending hurts wealth generation, except, arguably, if the government spending is protecting life and property from aggression.  Government spending misallocates resources and hurts productivity that will most benefit consumers.

It doesn’t matter if there is a balanced budget or huge deficits.  If government spending is huge, then it is going to have a huge detrimental effect on productivity and wealth generation.  It doesn’t matter if it is funded through taxation or debt or inflation.  Government is spending resources when it spends money.

Think of a group living on an island where they have a finite number of coconuts, bananas, and fishing poles.  If the government there pays someone one coconut, one banana, and one fishing pole in order to  build surfboards, then this would be a misallocation of resources, unless everyone agreed that they wanted surfboards (in which case government action wouldn’t be necessary).  Perhaps, if left to the market, people would have chosen to pay the person to build stronger shelters, instead of surfboards, because that was more important to them.

Again, it shows that government misallocates resources.  And you can see in this example, the government had to seize one coconut, one banana, and one fishing pole from someone else in order to pay for its surfboard program.  It doesn’t matter if the government uses taxation, or inflation, or promises to pay back the food and fishing pole at a later date.  It is spending resources at that time and it is misallocating them.

In conclusion, the main point of Shostak’s article should be understood by anyone who is studying free market economics.  Do not get distracted from the big picture.  Total government spending is perhaps the most important figure, as it alone shows the resources being consumed and/ or misallocated.  The less government spending there is, the more wealth generation we will see.

Some Good News About QE3

I shared some thoughts on QE3 on the day that the FOMC statement was released.  Overall, it is bad for the economy.  There may be some short-term excitement with gold and the stock market going up, but it is going to turn into a nightmare.  It is misallocating more resources, it will lead to higher price inflation, and it will prolong the agony.  In fact, it will make the inevitable correction that much more severe.

There was one bit of good news that I saw when reading an article on QE3 on the day it was announced.  I read the first dozen comments or so at the bottom of the article, and every one, except one, was negative towards the Fed.  Even the one exception was not in favor of QE3, but a simple comment from a naive (yet open-minded) reader asking where the Fed will get money to buy the mortgage debt.

Not only were the comments negative towards the Fed, they were mostly well thought out and articulated.  Some people ridiculed Bernanke and the Fed, while others gave more serious input.  But most everyone understood the negative consequences associated with more money creation.  I thought it was encouraging just in the fact that the commenters understood that QE3 was simply more money created out of thin air.

The best news is that this article was on Yahoo Finance.  I am not aware that it was linked by any popular libertarian website like LewRockwell.com.  It was just a standard article talking about the FOMC meeting and statement.

I don’t think we would have seen comments like this 10 years ago, or even 5 years ago.  There might have been a few, but it would not have been the vast majority.  I credit Ron Paul to a large degree.  He has educated millions of people on the subject of the Fed.  I also give credit to all of the libertarians and their educational efforts who set the stage for two successful Ron Paul campaigns (in the sense that millions were educated from his campaigns).

The cat is out of the bag.  Bernanke and the Fed cannot hide.  It is funny that the term “quantitative easing” or “QE” was first used as a technical term for money creation.  Now it seems that Bernanke and the Fed avoid using the term because of its negative connotation.

This is why I think hyperinflation is not only not inevitable, but actually unlikely.  If we start to see any signs of serious price inflation, then there will be a lot of pressure on the Fed to stop.  Perhaps we might see double digit price inflation like there was in the 1970’s, but I can’t imagine that it would get worse than that.  Everyone and their brother who has any understanding of this would be posting messages on Facebook and spreading the word, explaining that the rising prices are due to Federal Reserve monetary policy.  I think the Fed would be too embarrassed to go any further, or else people would start marching in Washington DC.

In conclusion, QE3 will cause more pain down the road for the economy and our overall standard of living.  The good news is that I see some hope for the future.  The Fed can no longer hide.  It has a spotlight on it like never before and it is not going to be turned off until the Fed is no longer in existence.

Thoughts on Starting a Business

There are certainly a lot of pros and cons to consider when deciding on whether to try to start a business.  It is hard enough to start a successful business at any time.  During the current economic environment, it is very difficult.

The good news is that we are living during this time when the web exists.  You can accomplish so much more now using the internet.  It actually gives the little guy a chance at competing.

If you are going to attempt to start a business, my recommendation is to start small.  The restaurant business is brutal.  Many other types of businesses are really tough to start, especially when you are competing against franchises.  Instead, you should look for small things where you can develop a niche.  It doesn’t have to be completely unique, but it shouldn’t be something really common either, otherwise it will be too hard to compete with existing businesses.

I don’t recommend taking loans, but I never say never.  I’m sure there are quite a few business owners worth many millions of dollars who started out by taking a loan.  But you better be sure that it has a really good chance at succeeding.  For every one business that is worth millions, there are hundreds of businesses that failed.  In other words, the odds aren’t good.  I don’t say this to discourage people, but only to keep them from taking huge risks that are likely to fail.

If you are going to start a business, try doing it without hiring anyone.  Keep it simple, at least in the beginning.  Invest your time instead of your money.  Even if you have money to blow, you still need to invest the time.  You can spend a few bucks on a website and a few necessary tools to run your business.  But don’t start spending thousands of dollars on something that hasn’t even been tested.

Of course, it is best to spend time outside of your regular job in setting up a business.  Start it small and see if you can get it to be profitable.  You should only quit your day job if you can get your business to a point where it is making you as much money as your job, or at least something close.

There are a lot of things to think through when starting a business.  You need the right idea or product.  You need a way to market your product.  You need to attract customers and actually get them to buy.  In addition to all of this, you need to know some accounting and some basic business skills.  If you do a poor job at any one of these things, then your business will likely fail.

In conclusion, I think it is a good idea to attempt starting a business.  You should understand that most business attempts fail.  Therefore, you should start small.  You should not take out loans.  You should invest time and little money.  You should take small steps each day to work towards your goals.

FOMC Announces QE3

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded its two-day September meeting and released its statement.  The big news is that the Fed is planning another round of quantitative easing (money creation out of thin air).  This is the third round of it since 2008 and is therefore referred to as QE3, although not in the FOMC statement.

The statement contains the usual fluff, so there is no need to go over the entire thing.  I’ll just cover the major parts.

The FOMC stated, “To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee agreed today to increase policy accommodation by purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month.  The Committee also will continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in June, and it is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities.”

In other words, the Federal Reserve will roll over expiring debt, but into longer-term securities.  This is a continuation of Operation Twist.

The new base money being added is the $40 billion per month.  In other words, we should see the adjusted monetary base increase by approximately $40 billion each month.

The FOMC statement continued, “The Committee will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments in coming months.  If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities, undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability.”

So QE3 is essentially open ended.  But they added the caveat that it is “in a context of price stability.”  In other words, the Fed will keep buying debt to help unemployment and it won’t stop until either there is an improvement in unemployment and the economy or if price inflation becomes a problem.

The FOMC statement also said that the federal funds rate will remain low until at least mid-2015.  That means the rate will be near zero for almost 7 years if they stick to that.

The most interesting part of the whole statement, aside from the announcement of QE3 itself, is how they are implementing it.  They are buying mortgage-backed securities (MBS) as opposed to the more typical buying of regular government debt.  But why would this help the economy?  The explanation doesn’t make any sense.  Mortgage rates are already at or near all-time lows.  If a 30-year fixed rate mortgage drops from 3.5% to 3.0%, is that really going to turn the economy around?

Ironically, immediately after the statement was released, the stock market went up, gold went up, and the 10-year yield went up.  The 10-year interest rate is highly correlated to mortgage rates.  So the Fed’s announcement actually sent rates up for a brief time, in opposition to what it is supposed to achieve.  The rate did come back down before the day was over, but bonds did not boom on the announcement the way that stocks and commodities did.

My big question is if the Fed’s buying of MBS will be like it did back almost 4 years ago.  Will the Fed pay the current market value for the securities?  Or will the Fed pay the old value for the MBS?  If it is the latter, then we know why the Fed is doing this whole thing.  It is another bailout of the major banks.  Perhaps the Fed knows something about the banks.  Perhaps it is afraid of the big banks being insolvent and is secretly bailing them out with this announcement.  If anyone knows with any certainty the answer to whether or not the Fed intends to pay the current market value for MBS, please drop a comment.

To put this whole thing in context, QE2 was about $600 billion over 8 months.  If the Fed does QE3 for one year, that will be $480 billion.  But this is still a huge number.  It is over 50% of what the Fed’s assets were back about 4 years ago.  I really believe that this could finally be the start of bigger price inflation.  There is a cost to this destructive policy and price inflation will be one of the costs.

September 11 and Conspiracy Theories

Another anniversary of September 11 has just passed.  Americans have lost a lot of liberty since that time, while the U.S. government has gained power.

There is an ongoing debate about what happened on that day, now over 11 years ago.  Some people think it was an inside job.  Others think that the conspiracy theorists are nuts.  There are a few in the middle and probably a few who have never heard these theories.

There would not be much debate on this in a past era.  The internet has changed everything.  It is because of the internet that we can see some of the footage of 9/11, plus hear competing theories on what may have happened.

The one thing that has always baffled me is the collapse of the buildings.  These buildings collapsed at near free fall speed.  It didn’t seem right that this would happen.  You might expect a partial collapse, but it is bizarre for skyscrapers to fall into their own footprint without planned explosives being involved.

Of course, it wasn’t just the twin towers that fell that day.  Later in the day, World Trade Center building 7 collapsed, which wasn’t hit directly by an airplane.  You can view one video here.  If you go to YouTube and search for “WTC 7”, you will find many different videos, including a few trying to counter the conspiracy theorists.

WTC 7 was 47 stories high.  That is a huge building.  While it was less than half the size of the twin towers, it would have been one of the tallest buildings in many major U.S. cities.  For that thing to fall in less than 10 seconds is incredible.

If you believe that WTC7 came down because of explosives, then this leads to a whole series of questions and answers.  If that is the case, there wouldn’t have been time to plant the explosives between the time the planes hit and the time it collapsed.  This means that some people knew what was going to occur that day, at least a day or more in advance.  It means that some people knew an attack was coming and didn’t try to do anything to stop it or warn people.  Again, it leads to a lot of questions.

I find conspiracy theories fascinating.  I’m sure that some are true and some are not.  But as a libertarian, I’m not sure how much good and how much bad they do.

It amazes me that some people believe that 9/11 was an inside job that was orchestrated by the U.S. government, and yet some of these people are not libertarians.  Some of them believe we should have socialized healthcare.  I have to ask them: So you think that the U.S. government secretly murders innocent people and covers it up and uses it as an excuse to terrorize more people, and yet you trust the same people to provide you with good medical care?

The same goes for the JFK assassination.  Many people believe that it was a conspiracy.  Yet, if that is the case, then there was a coup that day.  There was an overthrow.  It means that the establishment guys at the top did not like where JFK was taking the country.  Could it have been his comment that he wanted to tear apart the CIA?  In any case, why would you believe in such a conspiracy and yet still be in favor of handing over power to these people?

In some ways, talking about potential conspiracies doesn’t do any good and can sometimes move the liberty agenda backwards.  You might persuade someone that 9/11 was an inside job, yet it won’t make him a libertarian.  Plus, there will be many people that will just be turned off at the suggestion that their government could do such a thing.  This will just make them firmer in their beliefs that government is there to help.

On the other hand, I think talking about potential conspiracies with some people might help the cause of liberty.  If you get someone who is open-minded and interested in the subject and you convince him that 9/11 was an inside job, it would probably at least make him more distrustful of his government.  While it may not make him an instant libertarian, it might move him one step closer and encourage him to do more research.

In conclusion, I think libertarians really need to be careful in picking their audiences when discussing conspiracy theories.  It would be interesting if a smoking gun appeared that implicated the U.S. government in the 9/11 attacks.  Would that be enough for Americans to withdraw their consent or would they just blame a few bad apples and continue to clamor for more government help?

The Real Scoop on Government Jobs

Since the fall of 2008, the economy has struggled and unemployment has gone way up.  One interesting statistic that is frequently shown is government jobs.  Since the recession hit, the total number of government jobs has declined significantly.

Take a look at the last page of this report from the BLS.  The second to last graph clearly shows that employment in government has gone down in the last 3 or 4 years.  At the bottom, it says, “Since the end of the most recent recession in June 2009, government employment has declined by 670,000 or 3.0 percent.”

Here is the major problem.  These statistics are referring to overall government employment.  They are combining federal, state, and local.  If you look at the last chart, the total government employment went down from the previous month.  But the top bar shows that federal employment went up.

Back in May, Mitt Romney made a statement that we have 145,000 more government workers under Obama.  He has been criticized by some for this comment.  Some of his critics say that the total number of government workers has declined.  But Romney was technically near correct if he was just referring to federal government workers.  And in reality, that is what the president would have more control over, as opposed to state and local workers.

So while the federal government continues to expand (although perhaps more slowly than in the past), state and local governments have cut back drastically.  What is the reason for this disparity?

There is one main reason and that is the Federal Reserve (“the Fed”).  Since the recession hit, tax collections for governments at all levels have gone down.  This leaves them with a few choices.  They can raise tax rates, but even this may not lead to higher tax collections.  While this has been done by some state and local governments, it also hasn’t worked for many.  People don’t like tax increases, particularly when they are already struggling.  Another choice is for governments to cut spending, which has happened at the state and local levels, at least generally speaking.

The last main choice is to fill the gap by issuing debt.  But this is a problem for state and local governments.  They are limited in how much debt they can run up, whereas the federal government is far less limited.  The federal government can rely on the Fed to create money out of thin air to buy government bonds.  If the Fed did not exist, then the federal government would not be able to continue spending so much money for so long.  It would have had to cut spending by now or else face bankruptcy.

This is why it is so important to end the Fed.  The federal government would be forced to act more like state and local governments.  Sure, it would still do much damage and infringe on our liberties in many ways.  But its resources would at least be somewhat limited to its power of taxation.  It would not be able to run massive deficits and continue spending like we are in a boom.

State and local governments have had a real correction.  It hasn’t happened yet in Washington DC.  It has been prolonged and worsened by the Fed.  End the Fed.

Paul Craig Roberts on Economics

Paul Craig Roberts writes frequently for LewRockwell.com.  He has been really solid on foreign policy and civil liberties from a libertarian standpoint.  Unfortunately, I can’t say the same for his economics.  He reminds me a bit of Pat Buchanan.  He understands some economics, but he makes some fundamental errors that are critical and it ruins much of his analysis.

In his latest article, Roberts writes about the latest unemployment numbers.  He discusses the fact that the unemployment rate is vastly understated, particularly due to it being much lower because of people being discouraged and giving up on looking for work.  So while I have my criticisms of some of the economics, there are some interesting statistics he points out.

Roberts really starts to get off track when he talks about the types of jobs that were created.  Of course, the number of jobs he is talking about (96,000 jobs) is insignificant.  It is practically a rounding error in a country of over 300 million people.  Regardless, he offers his opinion on the types of jobs being created.  He says they are “lowly paid third world jobs”.  He says, “52% of the new jobs created by the American superpower are lowly paid waitresses, bartenders, practical nurses, and hospital orderlies.”

But who is Roberts to say what jobs should and shouldn’t be created?  Is he trying to central plan the economy himself?  If that is where consumer demand is, then the market is responding.  The fact that some of these are low paying jobs shouldn’t matter either.  Unemployment is high right now, so we should expect lower wages to allow the market to clear.  It is supply and demand.  The demand for jobs is high, so we should expect wages to come down to clear the excess supply, which in this case is labor.

Roberts then goes on to make another statement showing his ignorance in economics.  After asking where the remainder of the jobs are, he answers, “A few thousand jobs in finance and insurance, jobs that absorb consumer incomes but produce no product.”

This statement makes absolutely no sense.  If there is no product being produced, then why would consumers spend any money on them?  Are they just not products that he is interested in?  Does he not believe that companies which provide services should be entitled to pursuing a profit?  Does he think that if something tangible that can be held in your hand is not being produced, then it doesn’t count for anything?

I discussed this subject over a year and a half ago.  I referenced an old article by Harry Browne.  Why do jobs have to be in manufacturing to count?  Roberts, and others with the same thought processes, do not understand that this is actually a blessing of the free market.  We live in a society dominated by “services” because we are relatively rich.  We don’t need everyone farming, sewing clothes, and building houses.  These things can be done with a relatively small number of people because of new technology and past capital investment.

Paul Craig Roberts is certainly correct to be concerned about the American economy.  But he should not pretend to know which jobs should be created and what they should pay.  If the free market does not create any new manufacturing jobs, that is because consumers are demanding something else, or else there is no free market (which certainly is the case now).  It means that the manufacturing needs and wants of consumers are already being taken care of, whether it be by other Americans, Chinese workers, or technology.  If it is the case of too much government interference, then the solution is to get the government out of the way.  But nobody should pretend like he knows what jobs should be created and how much they should pay.  That is central planning.

A Friendly Discussion Between Friends

Hi Ted.

Hi Al.
There is this new law in Congress right now that I really like.
Oh yeah!  What is it?
It is about healthcare.  It will make healthcare cheaper.
Does is repeal a previous law?
No.  It will cost us a little more in the short term, but it will actually help lower costs in the long run.  It will also invest money in finding new technologies that will help with the quality of care we receive.
Haven’t we heard that promise before?
Yeah, but there are a lot of healthcare professionals who believe this will help.
I don’t like it.
Well, maybe I need to explain it to you better and get you some facts and figures.
Well, that is all fine, but what if I don’t like it?
Well, maybe you won’t like it.  I don’t know.  But you should look at the proposal.
But what if I don’t like it?
Then you won’t like it.
If I disagree and don’t go along with this proposal, will you advocate that violence be used against me?
What do you mean?  I am not violent.
But if I disagree with you on this, will someone point a gun to my head?
Hey man, I’m just having a friendly discussion with you here.  I am not talking about using guns or any other kind of violence.  You can disagree with me if you want.
But you said that this new legislation will cost money in the short run.  Who is going to pay for it?
Well, everybody is going to pay, through some kind of taxes or user fees.
But what if I don’t want to pay?
Well, we live in a society where you have to pay your taxes.  Come on, man.
But what happens if I don’t want to pay for it?
Well, you will probably get hit with some extra tax penalties, so you should probably go ahead and pay it.
What if I don’t pay the tax penalties?
Well, I suppose they’ll eventually take you to court and make you pay them.
What if I don’t show up for court, or what if I do go and refuse to pay?
You probably don’t want to do that.  You could get in big trouble.  They might send you to jail.  You better pay your taxes.
What if I don’t go to jail?
Well, I don’t think you will have a choice.  If you refuse, the police will come to your house and arrest you, I’m guessing.
Will they pull out a gun and point it at me?
Well, probably.
If I don’t comply, will they shoot me?
Well, you can’t disobey the police.
So, in other words, if I don’t pay for this new legislation that you like, then someone will eventually point a gun at me and shoot me if I don’t obey.
Well, I guess if you want to put it like that.
So other than just verbally disagreeing with you, I am not really allowed to disagree with this new proposal that you like without having violence inflicted upon me.
Well, you can disagree, but you will still have to go along with it.
That’s what I thought.
Anyway, I have to go now.  I am meeting some friends for lunch.  We are meeting near a bunch of restaurants and then we have to decide on a place to eat.

Well, if you don’t agree with the others on where to have lunch, at least you won’t be shot if you disagree and decide not to participate.

Libertarian Thoughts on Romney’s Five Point Plan

During Mitt Romney’s speech at the Republican National Convention, he laid out a brief five point plan to improve the economy.  As if libertarians needed another reason not to support this man, even when he gets somewhat specific, his proposed policies are still abysmal.

Romney starts out, “I have a plan to create 12 million new jobs.  It has 5 steps.  First, by 2020, North America will be energy independent by taking full advantage of our oil and coal and gas and nuclear and renewables.”

But why do we want to be energy independent?  Should we also be car independent?  Food independent?  Electronic independent?  Should we just seal off the borders of all trade?  And how is Romney going to do this?  Will he spend massive amounts of taxpayer money to find oil?  And what if the government, or the contractors hired to do it, can’t find enough to become “energy independent”?  Will we have to give up our cars?

Romney continues, “Second, we will give our fellow citizens the skills they need for jobs of today and the careers of tomorrow.  When it comes to the school your child will attend, every parent should have a choice, and every child should have a chance.”

Other than the “choice” part, that could have been said by any Democrat.  This is more top-down centralization of the so-called education system.  How nice of Romney that he will “give” his fellow citizens the skills they need.  How does he or any other politicians know what skills are needed.  This is pure central planning.

Romney continues, “Third, we will make trade work for America by forging new trade agreements.  And when nations cheat in trade, there will be unmistakable consequences.”

So what constitutes cheating and who will determine this?  Will it be Romney, the Congress, or some bureaucratic committee?  What will the consequences be?  Is he going to cut off trade with China?  Will he bomb China?  And why do we need new trade agreements?  Once again, this is total central planning.  Will Romney do this initiative through Congress or will he sign an executive order?  He obviously is not in favor of free trade, as free trade doesn’t really need any agreements.

Romney continues, “Fourth, to assure every entrepreneur and every job creator that their investments in America will not vanish as have those in Greece, we will cut the deficit and put America on track to a balanced budget.”

So we won’t actually have a balanced budget from a President Romney.  He will just get America on “track” for one.  How is Romney going to cut the deficit?  The only specific I have ever heard from Romney is that he is in favor of means testing for Social Security.  In other words, he wants to stiff the old people who are rich, while maintaining everything else.  So where is Romney going to come up with the other $1 trillion dollar or more in cuts necessary to balance the budget?  He is not advocating the elimination of one single department.  I want specifics and I have heard none out of Romney.  If he can’t offer anything substantial while he is campaigning, he certainly is not going to cut anything once he has political power.

Romney continues, “And fifth, we will champion small businesses, America’s engine of job growth.  That means reducing taxes on business, not raising them.  It means simplifying and modernizing the regulations that hurt small business the most.  And it means that we must rein in the skyrocketing cost of healthcare by repealing and replacing Obamacare.”

Did you catch that?  He wants to repeal and replace Obamacare.  What is his replacement?  Will it be Romneycare?  Will it be more socialized medicine than what Obamacare has to offer?  And what is this part about modernizing regulations?  Why does he have to simplify and modernize?  Why can’t he just repeal regulations?  Again, will he get this done through Congress?  Romney’s advocacy of lowering taxes on business is about the only part of this five point plan that is at all attractive to a libertarian.  Even there, who knows what he has in mind.

Libertarians should be very scared of a Romney presidency.  He does not offer any significant alternative to Obama.  At least with Obama in the White House, we have some opposition to big government coming from Congress, even if it is just in rhetoric only.

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